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FEDS Note: Why Gold Didn't Actually Overtake Treasury Securities as the World's "Favorite" Reserve Asset

The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.

作者 Colin Weiss2026年9月3日阅读约 9 分钟

Figure 1. World Gold Reserves and Foreign Official Holdings of Treasuries. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Revisiting the Forecasting Potential of Futures Prices

Alex Haag, Colin J. Hottman, and Amanda Tinkham Amid the largest global oil supply shock in history, oil futures prices moved up much less than many expected. The steep backwardation in oil futures from the Strait of…

2026年9月3日阅读约 13 分钟

Figure 1. Brent Oil Price 12-Month Forecast Performance. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Repo Markets and the Fed’s Balance Sheet: Implications for Monetary Policy Implementation

Sriya Anbil, Alyssa Anderson, Lucy Cordes, and Romina Ruprecht As the Federal Reserve (Fed) navigates periods of balance sheet expansion and reduction, it has become increasingly important to understand how changes in…

2026年8月26日阅读约 19 分钟

FEDS Note: Repo Markets and the Fed’s Balance Sheet: Implications for Monetary Policy Implementation

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: A Decade of U.S. Cross-Border Payments Efforts

Elena Falcettoni One of the goals of the Federal Reserve has always been the promotion of a safe and efficient payments system, and it consistently fosters such an environment by playing multiple, simultaneous roles…

作者 Elena Falcettoni2026年8月26日阅读约 24 分钟

FEDS Note: A Decade of U.S. Cross-Border Payments Efforts

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Liquidity Transformation Risks in U.S. Bank Loan and High-Yield Mutual Funds: A 2026 Update

Kenechukwu Anadu, Sean Baker, Fang Cai, Logan George, and Erik Larsson Mutual funds (MFs) and other open-ended collective investment funds engage in liquidity transformation—they offer investors daily redemptions while…

2026年8月19日阅读约 12 分钟

Figure 1. Net Assets of Bank Loan and High-Yield Mutual Funds. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Private Credit and Leveraged Loan Markets: Similarities, Differences, and Substitution

Ayelen Banegas, Sophia Castelo, Ahmet Degerli, Christine Dobridge, and Will Kennedy

2026年8月11日阅读约 12 分钟

Figure 1. Nonfinancial Debt Outstanding of Privately Held Corporations. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: The Price of Bank Funding Behind Private Credit: Evidence from Business Development Companies

Sharjil Haque and Jessie Jiaxu Wang Private credit is often described as credit provided outside the banking system. In many cases, this description is accurate: private credit lenders originate loans directly to firms…

作者 Sharjil Haque and Jessie Jiaxu Wang2026年8月7日阅读约 15 分钟

Figure 1. The Rise of Bank Credit Line Lending to BDCs. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Examining the Sensitivity of Regional Banks to Macroeconomic Shocks

Faith Achugamonu, Elena Afanasyeva, Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr, and Matthew P. Seay Following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), banking supervision and regulation became more stringent for largest banks, particularly…

2026年8月4日阅读约 21 分钟

Figure 1. Geographical Distribution of Deposits for Regional Banks (2025). See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Monetary Policy Stance and Commodity Cycles in Emerging Economies

Oscar Monterroso and Diego Vilán Emerging market economies, particularly those that depend heavily on commodity exports, have long been characterized by more volatile and disruptive business-cycle dynamics than their…

2026年7月31日阅读约 27 分钟

Figure 1. Global factors of commodity prices and sovereign spreads. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: The AI Buildout and the Economy: Publicly Available Data to Assess AI's Impact

Paul E. Soto, Mason Thieu, and Jeffrey S. Allen This note presents publicly available indicators that can help researchers and policymakers track the evolution of the generative AI buildout and its potential impact on…

2026年7月17日阅读约 18 分钟

Figure 1. Time-horizon of software engineering tasks different LLMs can complete 50% of the time. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Vietnam's Export Boom to the U.S.: The Role of Chinese Firms

Chris A. Avalos, Trang Hoang, and Eva Van Leemput In recent years, Vietnam has attracted considerable attention as a potential major beneficiary of the 2018-19 U.S.-China tariff increases, reflecting substantial trade…

2026年7月17日阅读约 13 分钟

Figure 1. Trade patterns: U.S. and Vietnam imports. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Fifth Conference on the International Roles of the U.S. Dollar: Stablecoins, Digital Payments, and the International Role of the U.S. Dollar

Ricardo Correa, Linda Goldberg, Ritt Keerati, Juan M. Londono, and Fabiola Ravazzolo The U.S. dollar continues to occupy a central role in the global economy. It remains the most widely used currency in foreign exchange…

2026年7月16日阅读约 6 分钟

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Technology Shocks, the AI Boom, and the U.S. Current Account

Giuseppe Fiori, Colleen Lipa, and Erik Nuenninghoff The current artificial intelligence (AI) investment boom in the United States provides a powerful boost to imports of high-technology capital goods. The AI buildout…

2026年7月14日阅读约 11 分钟

Figure 1. Import share of equipment and of high-tech equipment. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Do Major Technology Advancements Lead to Overinvestment?

Geng Li From the era of the Industrial Revolution, industrialized economies were blessed with a number of major technology advancements that profoundly changed production and services in essentially all industries…

2026年7月6日阅读约 8 分钟

Figure 1. Production Transition with New Capital Accumulation. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: How Resilient Were Emerging Market Economies Through the 2022-23 U.S. Monetary Tightening Cycle?

Shaghil Ahmed, Ozge Akinci, and Albert Queralto The cross-border spillover effects of shifts in U.S. monetary policy have long been a focus of academics and policymakers alike. A common finding in the literature is that…

2026年7月2日阅读约 11 分钟

Figure 1. Federal Funds Rate and Its Expectations during 2022-23 U.S. Tightening. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: A News-Based Approach to Measuring Shortages and Their Effects on the Global Economy

Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello The conflict in the Middle East has severely constrained global supplies of oil and natural gas. The conflict is also disrupting the provision of other inputs critical to global…

作者 Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello2026年6月26日阅读约 8 分钟

Figure 1. The Shortage Index. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Recent Developments in Foreign Direct Investment into the U.S.

Cody Kallen In 2025, U.S. tariffs rose sharply, contributing to record-high trade and economic policy uncertainty. Part of the motivation for the tariffs announced in April 2025 reflects a desire to spur foreign direct…

作者 Cody Kallen2026年6月26日阅读约 6 分钟

Figure 1. FDI into the U.S. by Type of Financing. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Retail Sweep Behavior Since the Elimination of Reserve Requirements

Mary-Frances Styczynski Retail sweeps emerged in the 1990s as a way for depository institutions (DIs) to reduce the cost of satisfying federally mandated reserve requirements. Retail sweeps grew, even as the cost of…

作者 Mary-Frances Styczynski2026年6月22日阅读约 13 分钟

Figure 1. Number of Retail Sweepers, Cumulative Counts Yearend 1994 to April 2012. See accessible link for data.

Federal Reserve Board 经济全文

FEDS Note: Decomposing Hedge Funds’ U.S. Treasury Exposures

Phillip J. Monin Between 2023 and September 2025, large hedge funds' gross U.S. Treasury exposures doubled to $4.0 trillion, comprising $2.4 trillion in long exposure and $1.6 trillion in short exposure. This growth…

2026年6月22日阅读约 18 分钟

Figure 1. Treasury Exposures, Repo Exposures, and Turnover. See accessible link for data.

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