The Effects of Monetary Policy on Macroeconomic Expectations: High-Frequency Evidence from Prediction Markets -- by Eric T. Swanson, Wang Renxuan, Yanbin Wu

We thank Miguel Acosta, Anthony Diercks, Valentin Haddad, Dun Jia, Benoit Nguyen, Nancy Xu, and seminar participants at the University of Southern California, European Central Bank, UC Irvine, Asian Conference on Macroeconomic Expectations 2025, Columbia Business School Ph.D. Alumni Conference, 2025 World Congress of the Econometric Society, CEIBS Finance and Accounting Symposium, 2025 FIRS Annual Meeting, 2025 European Finance Association Meeting, 2026 AFA Annual Meeting, 2026 Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability Conference, 2026 MFA Annual Meeting, the March 2026 Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics, CICF 2026, 2026 SED Meetings, 2026 Money, Macro, and Finance Conference, and 2026 Conference on Real-Time Data, for helpful discussions, comments, and suggestions. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.