(Mis)measuring Uncertainty: Bunching in Probabilistic Expectations -- by Carola Binder, Laura Crespo, Carlos Gento, Luis M. Guirola, Ernesto Villanueva

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2026, 18th Annual Feldstein Lecture, Mark Duggan, "Social Security Reform in an Era of Fiscal Deficits" Primary tabs
  • Acknowledgements and Disclosures

    The authors have nothing to disclose. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research, Banco de España or the Eurosystem.


  • Citation and Citation DataCopy Citation Carola Binder, Laura Crespo, Carlos Gento, Luis M. Guirola, and Ernesto Villanueva, "(Mis)measuring Uncertainty: Bunching in Probabilistic Expectations," NBER Working Paper 35733 (2026), https://doi.org/10.3386/w35733. Copy to Clipboard Download Citation
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